datafest_26 / risk_surrogatezero servers · zero real records
The model stayed home. Its reasoning travels.
A 90-day care-utilization risk model (gradient-boosted, 0.898 holdout AUC) distilled
onto fully synthetic data into an additive surrogate whose every prediction decomposes into exact
per-feature contributions — no approximations, no server, and not one real record in this page.
De-identified academic demonstration. The competition dataset is under a
no-sharing agreement: this page ships a surrogate trained on synthetic samples only (fidelity to the
real model: Spearman 0.92, attribution agreement 98%). Nothing here is medical advice.
move a slider · the verdict recomputes instantly
01 · patient utilization profile (synthetic)
02 · verdict
—
P(3+ encounters in the next 90 days)
03 · why — exact contributions vs the typical profile